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高龄、女性、慢性损伤及较高术前患者报告结局评分预测无法达到以患者再次接受后交叉韧带重建意愿为锚定的最大改善阈值

Arthroscopy : the journal of arthroscopic & related surgery : official publication of the Arthroscopy Association of North America and the International Arthroscopy Association · 2026-Apr-14
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Bai Wenbin, Gong Xi, Zhang Ye, Yin Ruirui, Zhang Yiwei, Zhao Yuanhang et al.

简介

本研究旨在确定以患者“愿意再次接受PCL重建”为锚点的最大改善阈值(MOI),并分析未达标的预测因素。对217例接受初次PCL重建的患者(中位随访63个月)进行回顾性分析。结果显示,IKDC评分的MOI阈值为34.5%,Lysholm评分为37.2%。分别有68.7%和56.3%的患者达到相应阈值。多变量回归分析发现,年龄较大、女性、慢性损伤(>12个月)以…

英文摘要

PURPOSE: To determine the maximal outcome improvement (MOI) thresholds for International Knee Documentation Committee (IKDC) score and Lysholm score anchored by patients' willingness to undergo posterior cruciate ligament (PCL) reconstruction again and identify predictors of failure to achieve these thresholds. METHODS: A retrospective review was conducted on patients who underwent primary PCL reconstruction. MOI was defined as the percentage of postoperative improvement relative to maximum possible improvement. Receiver-operating characteristic analyses were performed to determine the MOI thresholds based on patients' willingness to undergo PCL reconstruction as assessed through an anchor question at final follow-up. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify predictors of failure to achieve these thresholds. RESULTS: A total of 217 patients were included, with a median follow-up of 63 months (range: 36-84 months). MOI thresholds were 34.5% for IKDC score (area under curve = 0.837) and 37.2% for Lysholm score (area under curve = 0.825), where the latter was calculated after excluding 11 patients with perfect preoperative scores. The proportions of patients achieving the MOI thresholds were 68.7% for IKDC score and 56.3% for Lysholm score. Independent predictors of failure to achieve these MOI thresholds included older age (odds ratio [OR] = 0.952), female sex (OR = 0.166), chronic injury (>12 months; OR = 0.377), and higher preoperative IKDC score (OR = 0.947). For Lysholm score, significant predictors included female sex (OR = 0.403), chronic injury (OR = 0.452), and higher preoperative Lysholm score (OR = 0.968). CONCLUSIONS: MOI thresholds for patients' willingness to undergo PCL reconstruction were 34.5% (IKDC score) and 37.2% (Lysholm score), achieved by 68.7% and 56.3% of patients, respectively. Older age, female sex, chronic injury (>12 months), and higher preoperative patient-reported outcome scores were negative predictors of achieving these MOI thresholds. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level IV, retrospective case series.

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